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Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Tesla YouTuber Wins Next-Generation Roadster From Referral Program https://teslamotorsclub.com/blog/2017/10/31/tesla-youtuber-wins-next-generation-roadster-from-referral-program/


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vsMydMDi3rI&ab_channel=TalksatGoogle
frack abnigale.

https://www.ted.com/talks/fahad_al_attiya_a_country_with_no_water
Sheikdom goes from 10,000 bedouin in 1940 to 1.4 million now. oil drives desalination. he wants to run it off solar.


pipe dream:
today's idea to save and or take over the world.

middle east sultanate hires tesla to build a gigafactory to make solar panels and desalination plant.or, just borrow/license the technology.

reverse osmosis or better process.

then, you are left with the brine, a slurry of concentrated valuable minerals. that's where this next ted talk comes in. the guy is using bacteria to separate out various minerals. to at least some extent, this offsets the cost of desalination.
https://www.ted.com/talks/damian_palin_mining_minerals_from_seawater
https://www.ted.com/speakers/damian_palin

I don't know much about that economic model, so maybe or maybe not you end up with fresh water as a byproduct. Solar powered pumps then send it inland to farms, greenhouses, fish ponds, and faucets. Excess if any can go to wetlands which percolate into the aquifer. Meanwhile, keep building solar, for domestic then export use.

Meanwhile, this guy https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_stone_explores_the_earth_and_space intens to go to the moon, Shackelton Crater, and mine water to run a space based water station. Currently a gallon of water at the space staion is in the rder of $10,000. Spaceex is bringing that closer to $1000. But if this guy's plan works, water from the moon would be cheaper, and could be used as fuel.

The first ted talk I saw was Stamets, 6 ways fungi can change the world.

https://blog.ted.com/micro-metal-management-fellows-friday-with-damian-palin/

Tuesday, January 16, 2018


App Store revenue set to eclipse Hollywood..

It's cold and  I'm bingewatching Tesla videos. This guy just picked up his model 3. His roadster is on order. teslanomics.co. hmm, maybe this was his rental.



Tonight is The Night of January 16th, which is an Ayn Rand play.

http://money.cnn.com/gallery/technology/2018/01/13/ces-2018-gadgets/9.html
https://mycroft.ai/


Mycroft says it's the first open-source voice assistant. This means other companies could buy and brand Mycroft as their own voice assistant, under a new name.
For example, other retailers could have their own smart speaker using Mycroft's AI platform to compete with Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant.
Mycroft says it runs anywhere, including on desktop computers, inside a car or on wearables and other internet-connected devices.
examples of how this could be tweaked include  the staples "that was easy" button, the redit alien, or this plush clifford the big red dog i have here next to me.


Dow hits 2600 in 10 days, a new record time to rise 1000. This may be a presingularity effect.
The dow is up 40% since the election.

Monday, January 15, 2018

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000118141217000002/xslFormDX01/primary_doc.xml

Sunday, January 14, 2018

https://newatlas.com/cummins-fully-electric-semi-truck/51127/
Cummings has a new HQ 4 miles down the street from me.

https://newatlas.com/airlander-10-successful-flight-test/49478/



Saturday, January 13, 2018

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l9Mw7uwzuA&ab_channel=AllThingsComedy

Bert's new cooking show.

https://newatlas.com/grunner-x-ebike-production/51989/
expensive electric bike, lots of bells and whistles.

Friday, January 12, 2018

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dWWdrTjvSW0&ab_channel=kevinpollakschatshow

chat  show and elon musk in 2009.

Baudewatch department:
Orin Kerr mentioning a Will Baude article is no big deal. Justice Gorsuch mentioning it during  oral argument is a bit of a big deal.
http://harvardlawreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/1821-1889-Online.pdf
THE POSITIVE LAW MODEL OF THE FOURTH AMENDMENT

Thursday, January 11, 2018

DJIA 25,575. If it keep rising at this rate, this will be the quickest gain of 1000 on the dow in history, surpassing last month's.  Now 2770+. 25800. So that's 800 since 8 days ago.
Jay Moore to Kevin Pollack: Orange is the new black (referring to Trump.)

https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2018/01/laser-are-getting-ten-times-more-powerful-every-3-years-soon-exawatt-lasers-will-unlock-fusion-and-more.html

Ultrapowerful lasers have been increasing in power by 1000 times every ten years for the past forty years.
Assume that continues for 20 years. It's Moore's Law type changes, but do lasers matter?
If it brings commercial fusion, and can propel cargo around the solar system, then yes, maybe.

http://news.trust.org/item/20180111150311-d2d2u

note to self: become body broker.

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

YikeBike, cool but overpriced.
 http://www.businessinsider.com/yikebike-modern-day-big-wheel-electric-foldable-bicycle-2018-1

http://www.businessinsider.com/bill-gates-favorite-science-books-2017-6/#thing-explainer-complicated-stuff-in-simple-words-by-randall-munroe-1

When I was younger, Bill Gates was the personification of evil. Now he's plugging xkcd's Randall Munroe's book.

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

cnbc:
(If you go to the airport without proper ID, you may still be allowed to fly if the TSA can confirm your identity using a public database. If your identity cannot be verified, you will not be allowed through security.)
But starting Oct. 1, 2020, every air traveler will need a Real ID-compliant license, or another acceptable form of ID, for domestic air travel. unless they don't.



http://podbay.fm/show/585103759 list of bert' k's podcasts.

Monday, January 08, 2018

https://www.inspiremore.com/mom-that-raised-edison-of-our-time/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=btest

I just read a book by and about Jack Andraka, and this is a Tedx talk by his mom.

https://www.ted.com/talks/jack_andraka_a_promising_test_for_pancreatic_cancer_from_a_teenager
He thought he had invented a cheap easy test for pancreatic cancer, and I'm trying to find if it's made it to market. Did not fully pan out, and he got buried in some media frenzy, but I still liked the book.





https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_microcars_by_country_of_origin

Sunday, January 07, 2018

Just six years ago, more than 40% of Britain’s electricity was generated by burning coal. Today, that figure is just 7%. Yet if the story of 2016 was the dramatic demise of coal and its replacement by natural gas, then 2017 was most definitely about the growth of wind power.
Wind provided 15% of electricity in Britain last year  up from 10% in 2016. This increase, a result of both more wind farms coming online and a windier year, helped further reduce coal use and also put a stop to the rise in natural gas generation.


Overall demand for electricity also continued its 12-year downward trend. More of the electricity “embedded” in the products and servicesused in the UK is now imported rather than produced at home, and energy efficiency measures mean the country can do more with less. This meant Britain in 2017 used about as much electricity as it did way back in 1987 – despite the considerable population growth.




The U.S. Navy has a fleetwide deficiency that renders two essential naval operations impossible. Because Americans ships are vulnerable to antiship missiles, Navy doctrine bars them from sailing within 100 miles of a hostile shore. This prevents the Navy from a visible show of force and from mounting an amphibious assault against a well-

the rest of the article is behind a wsj paywall.

TOKYO—As Japan embraces autonomous-driving technologies with more cars able to brake for themselves or warn drivers of impending collisions, traffic deaths have fallen to record lows.

“I believe we will reach a point around 2029,” Kurzweil added, “when medical technologies will add one additional year every year to your life expectancy.”

low power radio nyt

Saturday, January 06, 2018

The standard deduction for single taxpayers and married couples filing separately is $6,350 in 2017, up from $6,300 in 2016; The personal exemption amount for 2017 is $4,050, the same as 2016.
so, same.
6350+4050=10,400 untaxed net income, if by untaxed i exclude fica.

Yes, the standard deduction has roughly doubled for all filers, but the valuable personal exemption has been eliminated. For example, a single filer would have been entitled to a $6,500 standard deduction and a $4,150 personal exemption in 2018, for a total of $10,650 in income exclusions. Under the new tax plan, they would just get a $12,000 standard deduction. Is it better? Yes. But it's not really "doubled."
So only $1350 more next year is safe from the 10% tax of the first bracket, a modest bump to cover cost of living, but not a revolution.

So to avoid income tax, I have to keep my net taxable income under $12K. That should be doable. Avoiding fica is more difficult; it requires zero earned income.

I think most of my income this year, if any, will be capital gains from selling real estate, so i should be able to reinvest those within the window. I can do a little contract work that is mostly just balanced out by expenses, about 5K each. I can receive up to 10K in gift income without being taxed on it. I have about 5K in investment income a year. I can temp a bit andd make up to 7K in wages.  So I could bring in about $22K a year without being taxed, plus whatever capital gains, which are defered if reinvested, maybe. Or is that limited to my personal residence? Anyway, given that I live in flyover country with a low cost of living, I can live comfortably on up to 22K a year, especially if I'm doing some real estate deals on top of that. I currently support one dependant, but I don't claim him on my taxes.

I prefer not to pay income tax, and try to plan my income accordingly, making just a little under the taxable limits, but in those few years when I make too much I pay it.
Over the years, a lot of my efforts have gone into how to live better with less, instead of trying to make more. Part of that has been doing stuff free online instead of spending money to do a similar thing in realspace.




https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/05/us/harvey-weinstein-harassment-allegations.html?

the article that started #metoo

Nearly all of the tax changes take effect next year, which means the 2017 tax return most people will file in April — as well as January payments for those who pay taxes quarterly — will continue to follow the current tax code.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/12/18/how-soon-after-president-trump-signs-tax-bill-you-see-effects/961497001/

Production for the new Roadster isn’t scheduled to start until 2020. You can reserve one now for $50,000 towards the $200,000 base price. Tesla says the base model will do 0-60 in 1.9 seconds, making it the first production vehicle to crack two-seconds.

If you are planning to pre-order your roaster, and you don't yet have a promotional discount code, let's talk. Last year's promotion is nearly over, and this years hasn't been announced yet, so details are fuzzy, but I can custom-tailor something for you.

Or, you can reserve a model 3  for $1000 now. That's about my price range. I wonder if I can get a  referral code with just a model 3 reservation.   

https://teslamotorsclub.com/blog/2018/01/06/teslas-roadster-prototype-seen-broken-down-in-malibu/





How is it that Trump, generally recognized as a buffoon, keeps winning?

STOCKS SET NEW RECORDS...

Fed Govt Cut 16,000 Jobs in '17...

+196,000 in Manufacturing...

BLACK UNEMPLOYMENT RECORD LOW...

Six-figure construction jobs UNFILLED...

Food stamp recipients down 2 MILLION...

Philippe Reines Nervous Millenials Will Love Tax Cuts...

POLL: TRUMP HITS 6 MONTH HIGH...

Meanwhile, we live in the future, unevenly distributed.


Searches of Traveler Phones Skyrockets...


Pentagon Seeks Laser-Powered Bat Drones...

FORD workers wear robot exo-suits to ease labor burden...








https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/05/opinion/golden-globes-metoo.html

NYT on "me too". This is a thoughtful piece i tend to agree with.
It is distinctly a Times piece; you could not run this in USA Today.
It uses terms like ethos and eros which ar not comprehendded by the USAToday style sheet, and the ideas are nuanced and tricky.

It is an early salvo of the backlash of support that I think we'll eventually see for Louis CK.



Thursday, January 04, 2018

https://teslamotorsclub.com/blog/2017/11/17/is-the-tesla-pickup-really-a-mini-semi/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQLdhVpLBVE&ab_channel=AdultSwim

For Profit Online University, featuring Howard, an army of one.


25090.
The blue-chip index, which heavily weights industrial giants such as Boeing Co. and Caterpillar Inc., was recently up 171 points, or 0.7%, at 25094. If the Dow industrials close above 25000, the jump from 24000 would have taken 23 trading days, ahead of the 24-day spans that took the index to 11000 in 1999 and 21000 in March.

I think we are seeing pre-singularity effects here. The "the future is near" crowd likes to point out how some trends are accelerating. Here, the prediction was that the future would hold increasing wealth, expanding at moore's law type exponential rates.

This year's DJIA curve, to say nothing of the NASDAC, shows this.

One of the hallmarks of the new economy is how rapidly previous records are broken. Change happens fast, and drives more change. Joseph Schumpeter.

I have been effectively snowed in this past week by one of the coldest weeks on record, possilby a byproduct of global warming. The future brings upsides and downsides.


Wednesday, January 03, 2018

I used to have this little guy in my masthead. Need to find a new place to host it.

Pageviews all time history 238,629. As I start this, what, 11th year of blogging it's nice to see i still get a few eyeballs.











The fertility rate in Saudia Arabia has gone from 7.8 in 1980 to 2.7 in 2015.
The fertility rate in Iran has gone from 6.4 in 1980 to 1.7 in 2015.
The fertility rate in the US was 1.84 in 1980 and was still at 1.84 in 2015.

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Events were soon to arise in the fiscal sphere which were to plunge me into new struggles and absorb my thoughts and energies at least until September 1908, when I married and lived happily ever afterwards. - winston churchill, reviewed here:
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/nov/21/100-best-nonfiction-books-my-early-life-winston-churchill
My Early Life: A Roving Commission by Winston Churchill (1930)

https://orionwatch.com/

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